GVC视角下中国—东盟自贸区经济一体化需求依赖——基于TiVA数据库的实证分析

曲靖师范学院学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (3): 103-111.

GVC视角下中国—东盟自贸区经济一体化需求依赖——基于TiVA数据库的实证分析

王敏, 吴映梅, 胡平平

云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,云南昆明 650500

收稿日期:2019-12-13 出版日期:2020-05-26
通讯作者: 吴映梅,云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院教授、博导,主要从事区域经济与地方发展研究.
作者简介:王敏,云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院硕士研究生,主要从事区域经济开发与管理研究.
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目“云南山地资源梯度开发与贫困农户生计耦合发展机理研究”(41761037);云南省社科联2019年度社会智库课题“贫困村、贫困户脱摘帽后的可持续发展对策研究”(SHZK2019103).

Demand Dependence of Economic Integration in China-ASEAN Free Trade Area(CAFTA) from the Perspective of GVC: Empirical Analysis Based on TiVA Database

Wang Min, WuYingmei, Hu Pingping

School of Tourism and geographical Sciences, Yunnan Normal University, Yunnan Kunming 650500, China

Received:2019-12-13 Published:2020-05-26

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于贸易出口增加值(TiVA)数据,借鉴GVC后向关联度和最终需求贡献率,比较并探讨中国—东盟自贸区在全球生产网络中的内部和外部需求依赖,结论表明:在出口增加值依赖层面,中国—东盟自贸区的内部依赖大于外部依赖,自贸区内部在生产分工中的经济联系日益紧密;同时,中国在东盟中的上游供给者地位正在稳步提升.在最终需求依赖层面,各经济体对自贸区外部的依赖大于内部,对自贸区内部最终需求市场的贡献度较小,提供的发展动力较小,但各经济体内部相互供应关系正在上升,相互之间的依赖程度在提升,自贸区内部经济发展动力有望增强.

关键词: GVC, 经济一体化, 后向关联度, 最终需求依赖, 中国—东盟

Abstract: Based on the data of trade export value added (TiVA), this paper compares and discusses the internal and external demand dependence of CAFTA in the global production network by referring to the backward correlation degree of GVC and the contribution rate of final demand. The conclusion shows: At the level of export value-added dependence, the internal dependence of the CAFTA is greater than the external dependence, and the economic links in the production division of labor within the CAFTA are increasingly close. At the same time, China's position as an upstream supplier in ASEAN is steadily rising.At the level of final demand dependence, each economy relies more on the outside than on the inside of CAFTA, contributes less to the final demand market within FTA and provides less momentum for development. However, the inter-supply relationship within each economy is rising, the degree of interdependence is increasing, and the economic development within CAFTA is moving forward. Strength is expected to increase.

Key words: GVC, Economic Integration, Backward Correlation Degree, Final Demand Dependence, CAFTA

中图分类号:

F752.7

王敏, 吴映梅, 胡平平. GVC视角下中国—东盟自贸区经济一体化需求依赖——基于TiVA数据库的实证分析[J]. 曲靖师范学院学报, 2020, 39(3): 103-111.

Wang Min, WuYingmei, Hu Pingping. Demand Dependence of Economic Integration in China-ASEAN Free Trade Area(CAFTA) from the Perspective of GVC: Empirical Analysis Based on TiVA Database[J]. JOURNAL OF QUJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY, 2020, 39(3): 103-111.

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