Prediction of Preschool Teacher Demand and Optimization Strategies for the Training System in Yunnan under the New Demographic Situation

Abstract

Abstract: At present, China is undergoing a demographic transition phase. A case study of Yunnan Province is conducted to investigate the impact of population changes on the demand for and cultivation of preschool teachers by projecting and analyzing the preschool-aged population and the demand for preschool teachers in Yunnan from 2025 to 2035. The results indicate that the overall demand for preschool teachers in Yunnan shows a declining trend. The teacher training system is characterized by its large scale and comprehensive levels, with a primary focus on junior college education and a relatively low hierarchical emphasis. Strategies for optimizing the preschool teacher training system from both the supply side and demand side are proposed in response to the impending issue of oversupply in preschool teacher training in Yunnan, aiming to establish a training ecosystem with precise supply and achieve an ideal state of balanced supply and demand for preschool teachers.

Key words: new demographic situation, Yunnan Province, demand for preschool teachers, teacher training system

CLC Number:

G610

WANG Ruo, ZHENG Yan, ZHU Yi. Prediction of Preschool Teacher Demand and Optimization Strategies for the Training System in Yunnan under the New Demographic Situation[J]. Journal of Qujing Normal University, 2026, 45(1): 117-128.

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Prediction of Preschool Teacher Demand and Optimization Strategies for the Training System in Yunnan under the New Demographic Situation

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